By Mary Alice Conroy
Forensic review of Violence hazard: A consultant for hazard evaluation and hazard Management presents either a precis of analysis to this point and an built-in version for psychological future health execs undertaking probability exams, probably the most high-stakes reviews forensic psychological future health pros practice.
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Extra info for Forensic Assessment of Violence Risk: A Guide for Risk Assessment and Risk Management
Evaluators who are tasked with offering a risk management plan can better inform risk management after a 26 INTRODUCING A BROAD MODEL FOR RISK ASSESSMENT consideration of idiographic factors. Many risk assessment tasks will require offering some degree of input regarding risk management strategies (Heilbrun, 1997). Indeed, Hart (2001, p. ” The evaluator who has examined carefully the past antecedents, nature, frequency, and severity of violence that a particular individual has committed (and also examined incidents in which the individual avoided or refrained from violence) is in a much better position to offer detailed, individualized suggestions for risk management.
1997a), a list of 20 items spanning historical variables, clinical variables, and risk management variables. Similar protocols are available to help evaluators consider in a systematic manner the risk factors for violence among a number of diverse populations (See Appendix A). , 2002) urge evaluators to use nomothetic evidence to assess the association between an examinee’s clinical condition and the outcome of interest (in this case, risk for violence). Fortunately, the data are available to allow evaluators to consider whether the characteristics an examinee presents (particularly the static, historical characteristics) are empirically associated with violence.
For the past quarter-century, the field has recognized What Are Base Rates? 47 that assessments of violence risk, in particular, must consider relevant base rate data. For example, Monahan (1981, p. 60) emphasized that knowledge of the appropriate base rate is the most important piece of information in violence prediction. Conversely, he also emphasized that failing to consider the relevant violence base rates is the most significant error in prediction that clinicians make. , 2002; Monahan & Steadman, 1996).